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Red40
97112.1
35913.1
Blue22
4819.9
33011.7
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222205101520253035404022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
Unranked
13.11.1
11.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
330
Unranked
11.71.1
12.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
971
Unranked
12.11.1
10.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
481
Unranked
9.90.8
9.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End