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Red42
33011.7
6499.9
Blue30
63610.3
68710.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030404230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
Unranked
11.72.4
15.312.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
687
Unranked
10.61.4
9.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
649
Unranked
9.93.0
9.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
636
Unranked
10.31.1
10.311.4
Auto
Teleop
End