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Red42
19012.9
25312.2
Blue10
1147.1
6928.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424101520253035404210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
Unranked
12.91.3
12.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
692
Unranked
8.62.0
10.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
253
Unranked
12.22.0
11.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
114
Unranked
7.12.0
13.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End