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Red30
25610.5
84613.9
Blue40
70110.3
25416.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26251015203035403040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
13.90.6
15.014.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
254
Unranked
16.70.5
14.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
256
Unranked
10.50.6
10.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
701
Unranked
10.30.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End