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Red10
11512.7
1147.1
Blue39
63610.3
4819.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33130204060801001201039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
12.72.5
17.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
636
Unranked
10.32.5
9.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
114
Unranked
7.12.5
11.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
481
Unranked
9.91.5
7.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End