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Red40
10013.2
52412.4
Blue39
64510.6
25510.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722010405060704039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
Unranked
13.20.1
14.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
645
Unranked
10.60.1
12.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
524
Unranked
12.40.1
12.011.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
255
Unranked
10.60.1
11.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End