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Red48
59913.8
25416.7
Blue34
66811.2
6499.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30240102040506070804834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
16.70.4
16.016.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
668
Unranked
11.20.7
12.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
599
Unranked
13.80.7
12.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
649
Unranked
9.90.7
12.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End