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Red22
84013.5
11512.7
Blue32
97210.8
59913.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302204060802232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
Unranked
13.50.9
13.512.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
599
Unranked
13.80.9
13.514.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
12.70.9
15.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
972
Unranked
10.80.9
10.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End