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Red20
25416.7
6018.5
35913.1
Blue13
84013.5
19214.8
81412.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484002060801001201402013

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60
Unranked
18.50.0
17.717.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
192
Unranked
14.80.0
14.914.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
254
Unranked
16.70.0
16.216.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
840
Unranked
13.50.0
13.613.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
359
Unranked
13.10.0
12.312.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
814
Unranked
12.80.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End