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Red10
1614.8
11816.8
60911.3
Blue26
3412.3
45713.2
19212.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51300204060801001026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
16.80.4
17.617.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
457
Unranked
13.20.4
12.412.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
16
Unranked
14.80.5
15.715.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
34
Unranked
12.30.4
11.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
609
Unranked
11.30.4
12.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
192
Unranked
12.10.4
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End