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Red40
3412.3
35610.8
Blue36
45610.5
64410.8
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030404036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
12.30.7
13.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
644
Unranked
10.81.1
10.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
356
Unranked
10.81.9
10.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
456
Unranked
10.51.3
10.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End