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Red32
64410.8
11816.8
Blue10
43411.5
60911.3
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272204060803210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
16.81.2
14.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
434
Unranked
11.51.2
13.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
644
Unranked
10.81.2
11.212.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
609
Unranked
11.31.2
10.18.9
Auto
Teleop
End