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Red40
6539.5
19212.1
Blue26
43811.3
44612.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23235101520253035404026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
Unranked
12.10.9
11.612.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
446
Unranked
12.80.9
12.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
653
Unranked
9.50.9
11.512.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
438
Unranked
11.30.9
10.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End