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Red37
3412.3
41812.1
Blue30
60911.3
64710.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121051015253035403730

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34
Unranked
12.30.3
10.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
609
Unranked
11.30.3
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
418
Unranked
12.10.3
11.611.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
647
Unranked
10.70.3
11.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End