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Red22
1485.9
43811.3
Blue36
45610.5
66011.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1723010203040502236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
438
Unranked
11.30.7
9.58.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
660
Unranked
11.60.7
11.612.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
5.90.7
9.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
456
Unranked
10.50.7
9.910.6
Auto
Teleop
End