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Red29
44612.8
60911.3
Blue10
6539.5
41812.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1926010304050602910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
446
Unranked
12.81.4
11.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
418
Unranked
12.11.4
11.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
609
Unranked
11.31.4
8.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
653
Unranked
9.51.4
12.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End