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Red47
4999.6
63518.4
Blue12
1485.9
44213.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232501020304050604712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
635
Unranked
18.42.3
14.716.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
442
Unranked
13.92.3
14.912.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
499
Unranked
9.62.3
9.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
148
Unranked
5.92.3
9.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End