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Red31
59016.6
64710.7
Blue18
20713.4
35610.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250204060803118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
590
Unranked
16.60.7
16.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
207
Unranked
13.40.7
14.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
Unranked
10.70.7
10.911.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
356
Unranked
10.80.7
10.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End