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Red31
60911.3
65910.9
Blue20
23110.6
36412.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323182022242628303120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
609
Unranked
11.30.7
10.010.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
364
Unranked
12.10.7
13.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
659
Unranked
10.90.7
13.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
231
Unranked
10.60.7
9.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End