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Red31
19212.1
35712.9
Blue36
62411.0
75012.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424152030353136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
Unranked
12.90.3
13.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
750
Unranked
12.60.3
12.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
192
Unranked
12.10.3
10.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
624
Unranked
11.00.3
11.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End