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Red40
21512.3
39713.2
Blue24
45610.5
9087.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2717010405060704024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
397
Unranked
13.20.7
13.013.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
456
Unranked
10.50.6
11.210.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
215
Unranked
12.30.6
11.712.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
908
Unranked
7.70.6
8.47.7
Auto
Teleop
End