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Red20
63518.4
47611.3
43712.5
Blue35
3412.3
45713.2
19212.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801002035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
635
Unranked
18.40.4
18.818.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
457
Unranked
13.20.4
12.012.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
437
Unranked
12.50.4
12.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
34
Unranked
12.30.4
11.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
476
Unranked
11.30.4
11.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
192
Unranked
12.10.4
10.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End