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Red30
62314.2
97610.9
Blue17
1909.3
40511.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252304060801003017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
Unranked
14.20.8
13.214.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
405
Unranked
11.90.8
13.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
976
Unranked
10.90.8
11.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
190
Unranked
9.30.8
10.39.5
Auto
Teleop
End