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Red30
49712.5
6229.4
Blue35
6437.4
12212.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2718010304050603035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
497
Unranked
12.50.6
14.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
122
Unranked
12.80.6
11.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
622
Unranked
9.40.6
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
643
Unranked
7.40.6
9.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End