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Red22
54010.9
4168.6
Blue35
83711.1
62011.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2124010304050602235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
540
Unranked
10.90.7
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
837
Unranked
11.10.7
12.012.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
416
Unranked
8.60.7
11.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
620
Unranked
11.00.7
11.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End