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Red18
11610.7
92610.9
Blue15
9277.5
28410.4
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2416010203040501815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
926
Unranked
10.90.1
11.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
284
Unranked
10.40.1
10.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
116
Unranked
10.70.1
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
927
Unranked
7.50.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End