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Red32
84513.6
28118.7
Blue22
54010.9
6229.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424102030403222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
18.73.9
16.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
540
Unranked
10.91.2
10.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
845
Unranked
13.60.9
13.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
622
Unranked
9.42.1
9.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End