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Red32
60011.4
61510.8
Blue25
40511.9
97513.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1830010405060703225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
600
Unranked
11.40.8
10.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
975
Unranked
13.20.8
14.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
615
Unranked
10.80.8
10.110.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
405
Unranked
11.90.8
12.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End