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Red11
34510.9
84513.6
Blue31
90015.5
83915.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2630010204050601131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
845
Unranked
13.61.0
14.713.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
900
Unranked
15.51.0
14.515.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
345
Unranked
10.91.1
12.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
839
Unranked
15.41.1
14.315.4
Auto
Teleop
End