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Red20
68611.4
34112.2
Blue30
61910.7
54010.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29160102040506070802030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
Unranked
12.21.0
13.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
540
Unranked
10.91.0
9.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
686
Unranked
11.40.9
12.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
619
Unranked
10.70.9
9.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End