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Red11
4148.9
83711.1
Blue40
40016.6
5312.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22270103040501140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
837
Unranked
11.11.6
12.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
400
Unranked
16.61.5
15.116.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
414
Unranked
8.91.5
10.48.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
53
Unranked
12.41.5
10.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End