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Red40
44916.4
12212.8
Blue30
4148.9
4168.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252501020304050604030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
Unranked
16.40.6
12.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
414
Unranked
8.90.6
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
122
Unranked
12.82.6
15.312.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
416
Unranked
8.62.9
8.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End