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Red30
61712.3
83610.3
Blue26
11610.7
60210.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2523010203040503026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
617
Unranked
12.30.1
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
116
Unranked
10.70.1
11.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
836
Unranked
10.30.1
13.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
602
Unranked
10.50.1
11.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End