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Red22
62011.0
61110.5
Blue10
92510.3
61510.8
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24245101520303540452210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
Unranked
11.00.8
12.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
615
Unranked
10.80.8
11.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
611
Unranked
10.50.8
11.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
925
Unranked
10.30.8
12.511.8
Auto
Teleop
End