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Red32
34611.2
28410.4
Blue38
34510.9
78.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2623010203040503238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
Unranked
11.20.5
12.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
345
Unranked
10.91.7
10.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
284
Unranked
10.40.5
12.712.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
7
Unranked
8.90.5
11.612.1
Auto
Teleop
End