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Red10
90513.3
92510.3
Blue15
92610.9
61712.3
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323010203040501015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
905
Unranked
13.30.3
11.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
617
Unranked
12.30.3
11.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
925
Unranked
10.30.3
11.811.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
926
Unranked
10.90.3
11.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End