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Red32
49712.5
42213.7
Blue24
31612.7
62011.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25251015203035403224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
Unranked
13.70.5
11.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
316
Unranked
12.70.5
11.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
497
Unranked
12.50.5
13.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
620
Unranked
11.00.5
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End