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Red29
5312.4
34510.9
Blue39
33910.5
28118.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2329010405060702939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53
Unranked
12.40.3
11.310.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
281
Unranked
18.70.3
16.416.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
345
Unranked
10.90.3
12.612.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
339
Unranked
10.50.3
11.912.2
Auto
Teleop
End