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Red30
61412.8
63810.4
Blue31
76812.4
12212.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625102030403031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
Unranked
12.80.1
14.013.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
122
Unranked
12.80.1
12.812.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
638
Unranked
10.40.1
11.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
768
Unranked
12.40.1
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End