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Red34
42213.7
97610.9
Blue33
61712.3
90015.5
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2325010203040503433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
Unranked
13.70.2
12.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
900
Unranked
15.50.2
12.912.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
976
Unranked
10.90.2
11.311.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
617
Unranked
12.30.2
12.112.0
Auto
Teleop
End