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Red35
43511.7
60210.5
Blue25
62011.0
51014.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2425010203040503525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
Unranked
11.70.7
12.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
510
Unranked
14.80.7
12.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
602
Unranked
10.50.7
11.912.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
620
Unranked
11.00.7
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End