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Red0
31612.7
28712.6
Blue10
36514.4
44814.6
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2128010405060010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
12.70.4
11.010.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
448
Unranked
14.60.4
15.916.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
287
Unranked
12.60.4
11.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
365
Unranked
14.40.4
10.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End