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Red40
84513.6
58714.7
Blue24
83610.3
92510.3
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29200104050604024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
Unranked
14.70.7
14.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
836
Unranked
10.30.7
11.811.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
845
Unranked
13.60.7
12.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
925
Unranked
10.30.7
10.49.7
Auto
Teleop
End