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Red20
34112.2
44916.4
Blue30
61110.5
42213.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions341901030405060702030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
Unranked
16.41.1
14.213.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
422
Unranked
13.71.1
12.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
341
Unranked
12.21.1
16.014.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
611
Unranked
10.51.1
10.411.5
Auto
Teleop
End