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Red21
83711.1
61712.3
Blue40
51014.8
43511.7
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25251015203035402140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
617
Unranked
12.31.2
12.010.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
510
Unranked
14.81.2
11.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
837
Unranked
11.11.2
12.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
435
Unranked
11.71.2
13.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End