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Red36
28712.6
54010.9
Blue30
4168.6
60210.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2124010304050603630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
Unranked
12.60.5
11.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
602
Unranked
10.50.5
11.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
540
Unranked
10.90.5
10.110.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
416
Unranked
8.60.5
11.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End