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Red20
38411.8
5312.4
Blue30
76913.2
61510.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2420010304050602030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53
Unranked
12.40.7
12.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
769
Unranked
13.20.7
11.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
384
Unranked
11.80.7
10.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
615
Unranked
10.80.7
9.210.0
Auto
Teleop
End