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Red20
95314.9
49213.6
48811.8
Blue44
9489.9
37411.3
63312.8
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060801001202044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
953
Unranked
14.90.4
15.114.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
633
Unranked
12.80.5
12.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
492
Unranked
13.60.4
13.713.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
374
Unranked
11.30.4
11.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
488
Unranked
11.80.5
12.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
948
Unranked
9.90.5
9.810.3
Auto
Teleop
End