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Red11
82413.8
6289.9
Blue24
49213.6
96111.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272201040506070801124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
824
Unranked
13.81.0
12.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
492
Unranked
13.61.0
11.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
628
Unranked
9.91.0
13.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
961
Unranked
11.91.2
11.913.1
Auto
Teleop
End