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Red33
99710.3
63312.8
Blue24
44311.7
48811.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28250204060801003324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
633
Unranked
12.80.5
13.914.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
488
Unranked
11.80.5
11.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
997
Unranked
10.30.5
13.213.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
443
Unranked
11.70.5
13.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End